Model line
Illinois St. −0.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 51%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Indiana St. home
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Illinois St. a 0.3-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Indiana St. offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
