Model line
Drake −14.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 93%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Drake home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Drake a 14.2-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Drake defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Evansville defense
| Drake O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
