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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Belmont · #130 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Sat, Feb 6 · 12:00 AM ETCFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −11.1
Win probability
Murray St. 88%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Murray St. a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Belmont offense vs Murray St. defense

Belmont OStatMurray St. D
70.0#92Tempo#2072.3
61.0#1eFG%#23552.4
18.1#273TOV%#23215.8
28.8#237ORB%#21531.3
32.5#249FT rate#11132.2
9.4#172Block%#2058.9
61.9#18Assist%#1744.1
60.6#52P%#17851.7
41.0#13P%#31436.2
68.6#307FT%—
45.7#513PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Belmont defense

Murray St. OStatBelmont D
72.3#20Tempo#9270.0
53.8#73eFG%#9249.9
16.3#155TOV%#12317.4
32.6#101ORB%#11929.2
38.6#88FT rate#7830.7
8.1#67Block%#7111.3
49.1#261Assist%#23854.5
55.0#572P%#4948.5
35.0#1173P%#19434.2
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#649.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Belmont

Fri, Mar 6NDrake137L 79–100
Sun, Mar 1AIllinois St.116L 74–81
Wed, Feb 25HEvansville273W 98–64
Sat, Feb 21HIndiana St.212W 87–70
Sun, Feb 15AMurray St.97W 87–70

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75