Model line
Valparaiso −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 78%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Valparaiso a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Drake offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Drake O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Drake defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
