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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Indiana St. · #212 · MVC · 0–0Southern Illinois · #172 · MVC · 0–0Wed, Feb 3 · 12:00 AM ETBanterra Center · Carbondale, IL
Model line
Southern Illinois −9.6
Win probability
Southern Illinois 85%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Southern Illinois home
16%Win probability85%

The model makes Southern Illinois a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Indiana St. offense vs Southern Illinois defense

Indiana St. OStatSouthern Illinois D
68.3#185Tempo#10669.7
52.8#108eFG%#6949.0
19.5#338TOV%#7518.5
26.2#315ORB%#4727.3
27.4#348FT rate#9431.4
13.4#359Block%#13810.0
64.9#8Assist%#17352.1
57.4#272P%#16751.5
31.5#3053P%#1830.4
67.8#329FT%—
45.2#633PA rate#11141.5

Southern Illinois offense vs Indiana St. defense

Southern Illinois OStatIndiana St. D
69.7#106Tempo#18568.3
49.2#285eFG%#11050.2
17.0#205TOV%#29514.9
30.9#170ORB%#24431.8
31.3#274FT rate#3928.8
8.5#104Block%#2528.1
48.6#274Assist%#1043.0
52.2#1652P%#19252.0
27.8#3633P%#4031.3
68.3#319FT%—
29.2#3553PA rate#32934.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Indiana St.

Thu, Mar 5NValparaiso142L 62–63
Sun, Mar 1HIllinois Chicago105W 79–63
Wed, Feb 25ASouthern Illinois172L 55–66
Sat, Feb 21ABelmont130L 70–87
Wed, Feb 18HNorthern Iowa129L 60–81

Southern Illinois

Thu, Mar 5NDrake137L 63–67
Sun, Mar 1AEvansville273W 81–67
Wed, Feb 25HIndiana St.212W 66–55
Sat, Feb 21ANorthern Iowa129W 59–57
Wed, Feb 18ADrake137W 66–61