Model line
Drake −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 78%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Drake home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Drake a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Drake defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Drake O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
