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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Valparaiso · #142 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Sat, Jan 30 · 12:00 AM ETCFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −10.6
Win probability
Murray St. 87%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Murray St. a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Valparaiso offense vs Murray St. defense

Valparaiso OStatMurray St. D
66.1#293Tempo#2072.3
47.6#325eFG%#23552.4
15.7#117TOV%#23215.8
32.5#109ORB%#21531.3
39.1#80FT rate#11132.2
8.5#106Block%#2058.9
48.8#271Assist%#1744.1
45.8#3492P%#17851.7
33.9#1823P%#31436.2
70.9#242FT%—
36.8#2353PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Valparaiso defense

Murray St. OStatValparaiso D
72.3#20Tempo#29366.1
53.8#73eFG%#13050.5
16.3#155TOV%#16316.9
32.6#101ORB%#16930.1
38.6#88FT rate#18235.1
8.1#67Block%#14310.0
49.1#261Assist%#10949.8
55.0#572P%#19151.9
35.0#1173P%#6932.1
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#26337.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Valparaiso

Fri, Mar 6NBradley183L 84–90
Thu, Mar 5NIndiana St.212W 63–62
Sat, Feb 28AEvansville273L 79–80
Wed, Feb 25HDrake137W 74–71
Sat, Feb 21AIllinois Chicago105W 71–67

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75