Model line
Illinois Chicago −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 78%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Illinois Chicago home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Illinois Chicago offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
