Model line
Valparaiso −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 89%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Valparaiso a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
