Model line
Illinois St. −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 89%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Illinois St. a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
