Model line
Northern Iowa −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 70%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Northern Iowa home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Northern Iowa offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
