Model line
Northern Iowa −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 56%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Evansville home
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Evansville defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
