Model line
Drake −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 63%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Drake home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes Drake a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Murray St. offense vs Drake defense
| Murray St. O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#20 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 53.8#73 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 16.3#155 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 32.6#101 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 38.6#88 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.1#67 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 49.1#261 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 55.0#57 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 35.0#117 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 75.5#65 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#73 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Murray St. defense
| Drake O | Stat | Murray St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #2072.3 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #23552.4 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #23215.8 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #21531.3 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #11132.2 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2058.9 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #1744.1 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #17851.7 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #31436.2 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #36427.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Murray St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 94–64 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Nevada77 | L 75–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 79–92 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Bradley183 | L 78–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Evansville273 | W 88–75 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
