Model line
Valparaiso −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 74%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Valparaiso a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Belmont offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Belmont defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
