Model line
Northern Iowa −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 66%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Northern Iowa home
35%Win probability66%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Murray St. offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Murray St. O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#20 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 53.8#73 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 16.3#155 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 32.6#101 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 38.6#88 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 8.1#67 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 49.1#261 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 55.0#57 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 35.0#117 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 75.5#65 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#73 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Northern Iowa offense vs Murray St. defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Murray St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #2072.3 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #23552.4 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #23215.8 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #21531.3 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #11132.2 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #2058.9 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #1744.1 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #17851.7 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #31436.2 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #36427.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Murray St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 94–64 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Nevada77 | L 75–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 79–92 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Bradley183 | L 78–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Evansville273 | W 88–75 |
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
