Model line
Drake −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 66%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Drake home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Drake a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Drake defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Drake O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
