Model line
Belmont −11.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 90%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Belmont home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Belmont a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Belmont defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
