Model line
Belmont −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 87%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Belmont home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Belmont a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Belmont defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
