Model line
Belmont −1.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 56%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Evansville home
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Belmont a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Belmont offense vs Evansville defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Belmont defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
