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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Iowa · #129 · MVC · 0–0Indiana St. · #212 · MVC · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 1:00 PM ETHulman Center · Terre Haute, IN
Model line
Indiana St. −1.3
Win probability
Indiana St. 56%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Indiana St. home
44%Win probability56%

The model makes Indiana St. a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Iowa offense vs Indiana St. defense

Northern Iowa OStatIndiana St. D
63.4#362Tempo#18568.3
53.8#74eFG%#11050.2
14.4#39TOV%#29514.9
21.8#358ORB%#24431.8
25.6#362FT rate#3928.8
8.3#80Block%#2528.1
56.6#77Assist%#1043.0
54.9#612P%#19252.0
34.7#1393P%#4031.3
69.2#293FT%—
39.1#1893PA rate#32934.4

Indiana St. offense vs Northern Iowa defense

Indiana St. OStatNorthern Iowa D
68.3#185Tempo#36263.4
52.8#108eFG%#3347.5
19.5#338TOV%#9718.0
26.2#315ORB%#2526.5
27.4#348FT rate#5229.6
13.4#359Block%#1519.8
64.9#8Assist%#9249.2
57.4#272P%#10750.2
31.5#3053P%#329.1
67.8#329FT%—
45.2#633PA rate#9941.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Iowa

Fri, Mar 20NSt. John's25L 53–79
Sun, Mar 8NIllinois Chicago105W 84–69
Sat, Mar 7NBradley183W 73–69
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois St.116W 74–52
Thu, Mar 5NEvansville273W 68–59

Indiana St.

Thu, Mar 5NValparaiso142L 62–63
Sun, Mar 1HIllinois Chicago105W 79–63
Wed, Feb 25ASouthern Illinois172L 55–66
Sat, Feb 21ABelmont130L 70–87
Wed, Feb 18HNorthern Iowa129L 60–81