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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Evansville · #273 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Sat, Jan 9 · 12:00 AM ETCFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −18.7
Win probability
Murray St. 98%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes Murray St. a 18.7-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Evansville offense vs Murray St. defense

Evansville OStatMurray St. D
67.4#227Tempo#2072.3
49.3#276eFG%#23552.4
19.1#323TOV%#23215.8
22.0#355ORB%#21531.3
29.8#316FT rate#11132.2
7.1#17Block%#2058.9
54.3#132Assist%#1744.1
49.9#2562P%#17851.7
32.2#2683P%#31436.2
73.6#147FT%—
43.1#1113PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Evansville defense

Murray St. OStatEvansville D
72.3#20Tempo#22767.4
53.8#73eFG%#33455.1
16.3#155TOV%#25915.4
32.6#101ORB%#17130.2
38.6#88FT rate#9031.4
8.1#67Block%#13510.0
49.1#261Assist%#31858.0
55.0#572P%#27754.0
35.0#1173P%#35137.6
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#6243.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Evansville

Thu, Mar 5NNorthern Iowa129L 59–68
Sun, Mar 1HSouthern Illinois172L 67–81
Sat, Feb 28HValparaiso142W 80–79
Wed, Feb 25ABelmont130L 64–98
Sat, Feb 21AMurray St.97L 75–88

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75