Model line
Valparaiso −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 65%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Valparaiso a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
