Model line
Belmont −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 71%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Belmont home
30%Win probability71%
The model makes Belmont a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Belmont defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
