Model line
Evansville −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Evansville 68%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Evansville home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Evansville a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Evansville defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
