Model line
Drake −6.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 74%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Drake home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Drake a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Belmont offense vs Drake defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Belmont defense
| Drake O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
