Model line
Valparaiso −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 84%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Valparaiso a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
