Model line
Belmont −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 78%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Belmont home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Belmont a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Belmont defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
