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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Illinois Chicago · #105 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Tue, Dec 29 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+CFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −8.2
Win probability
Murray St. 81%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
19%Win probability81%

The model makes Murray St. a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Illinois Chicago offense vs Murray St. defense

Illinois Chicago OStatMurray St. D
67.1#240Tempo#2072.3
49.8#245eFG%#23552.4
17.6#246TOV%#23215.8
36.3#22ORB%#21531.3
36.2#144FT rate#11132.2
10.3#260Block%#2058.9
53.6#149Assist%#1744.1
51.0#2112P%#17851.7
31.6#3003P%#31436.2
72.5#190FT%—
32.8#3193PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Illinois Chicago defense

Murray St. OStatIllinois Chicago D
72.3#20Tempo#24067.1
53.8#73eFG%#12750.5
16.3#155TOV%#3119.7
32.6#101ORB%#25532.0
38.6#88FT rate#14833.9
8.1#67Block%#5711.8
49.1#261Assist%#36166.0
55.0#572P%#13050.8
35.0#1173P%#14333.4
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#1946.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Illinois Chicago

Wed, Mar 18ACalifornia94L 73–91
Sun, Mar 8NNorthern Iowa129L 69–84
Sat, Mar 7NDrake137W 72–51
Fri, Mar 6NMurray St.97W 92–79
Sun, Mar 1AIndiana St.212L 63–79

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75