Model line
Illinois St. −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 69%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Evansville home
69%Win probability32%
The model makes Illinois St. a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Evansville defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
