Model line
Drake −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 85%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Drake home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Drake a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Drake defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Drake O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
