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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Carolina · #184 · SC · 0–0UNC Asheville · #291 · BSth · 0–0Sat, Nov 7 · 5:30 PM ETESPN+Kimmel Arena · Asheville, NC
Model line
UNC Asheville −1.2
Win probability
UNC Asheville 55%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
UNC Asheville home
45%Win probability55%

The model makes UNC Asheville a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Carolina offense vs UNC Asheville defense

Western Carolina OStatUNC Asheville D
68.8#162Tempo#24267.1
50.4#225eFG%#17651.3
16.8#189TOV%#25415.5
35.4#39ORB%#21831.3
31.3#275FT rate#28038.7
7.7#46Block%#14210.0
44.3#344Assist%#8148.7
50.6#2322P%#23152.8
33.5#1973P%#9532.6
71.4#228FT%—
40.9#1493PA rate#22038.4

UNC Asheville offense vs Western Carolina defense

UNC Asheville OStatWestern Carolina D
67.1#242Tempo#16268.8
51.0#196eFG%#32854.9
17.4#231TOV%#32314.5
29.8#213ORB%#2326.3
40.0#60FT rate#25737.8
7.7#45Block%#3047.3
40.4#360Assist%#7048.1
50.1#2502P%#30754.8
35.1#1103P%#33836.7
68.4#317FT%—
33.6#3083PA rate#5143.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Carolina

Sun, Mar 8NEast Tennessee St.175L 67–69
Sat, Mar 7NMercer227W 77–73
Sat, Feb 28HFurman147W 86–67
Wed, Feb 25HMercer227W 78–74
Sat, Feb 21AVMI344W 81–62

UNC Asheville

Sat, Mar 7NHigh Point61L 71–75
Fri, Mar 6NLongwood214W 85–82
Sat, Feb 28HCharleston Southern316L 75–92
Thu, Feb 26AGardner Webb352W 77–71
Sat, Feb 21HRadford255W 74–73