Model line
Idaho −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 64%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Idaho home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Idaho a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs Idaho defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| Idaho O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
