Model line
Little Rock −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 86%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Little Rock a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stetson offense vs Little Rock defense
| Stetson O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#205 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 53.1#102 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 18.1#281 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 26.6#309 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 32.4#252 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 7.7#42 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 58.5#50 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 52.5#148 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 36.0#61 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 69.2#295 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#76 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Stetson defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Stetson D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #20567.9 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #33855.2 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #28315.1 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #24931.8 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #7230.4 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #3485.8 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #24154.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #34957.6 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #22634.6 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #12541.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stetson
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Austin Peay195 | L 60–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Kentucky283 | W 92–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 78–63 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Jacksonville230 | L 85–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Florida321 | W 76–71 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
