Model line
Stetson −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stetson 60%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Stetson home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Stetson a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Stetson defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Stetson D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #20567.9 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #33855.2 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #28315.1 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #24931.8 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #7230.4 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #3485.8 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #24154.5 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #34957.6 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #22634.6 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #12541.1 |
Stetson offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Stetson O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#205 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 53.1#102 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 18.1#281 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 26.6#309 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 32.4#252 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 7.7#42 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 58.5#50 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 52.5#148 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 36.0#61 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 69.2#295 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#76 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Stetson
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Austin Peay195 | L 60–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Kentucky283 | W 92–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 78–63 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Jacksonville230 | L 85–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Florida321 | W 76–71 |
