Model line
Tarleton St. −14.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 94%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 14.9-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Florida offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs North Florida defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
