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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Florida · #321 · ASun · 0–0UT Arlington · #232 · UAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 19 · 6:00 PM ETESPN+College Park Center · Arlington, TX
Model line
UT Arlington −10.9
Win probability
UT Arlington 87%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
UT Arlington home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes UT Arlington a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Florida offense vs UT Arlington defense

North Florida OStatUT Arlington D
72.0#25Tempo#27466.5
52.9#107eFG%#3047.4
17.9#265TOV%#9918.0
25.2#335ORB%#16830.1
28.8#333FT rate#31240.9
12.6#352Block%#1779.3
50.6#229Assist%#8949.1
53.4#1112P%#13450.9
35.0#1183P%#126.9
77.8#22FT%—
51.7#73PA rate#35332.3

UT Arlington offense vs North Florida defense

UT Arlington OStatNorth Florida D
66.5#274Tempo#2572.0
47.2#332eFG%#34956.3
20.7#354TOV%#36212.7
34.9#51ORB%#36137.6
42.5#24FT rate#9231.4
9.5#192Block%#3653.5
46.4#310Assist%#17452.2
48.8#2892P%#35858.7
29.1#3523P%#25135.1
72.3#198FT%—
30.7#3463PA rate#20339.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Florida

Wed, Mar 4NWest Georgia322L 85–93
Sat, Feb 28HJacksonville230L 61–85
Thu, Feb 26HFlorida Gulf Coast275W 76–70
Sat, Feb 21AStetson267L 71–76
Thu, Feb 19HAustin Peay195L 76–77

UT Arlington

Fri, Mar 13NUtah Valley120L 65–67
Thu, Mar 12NSouthern Utah246W 69–63
Sat, Mar 7AAbilene Christian242W 64–57
Thu, Mar 5ATarleton St.178W 65–60
Thu, Feb 26ACal Baptist216L 56–68