Model line
North Florida −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Florida 65%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
North Florida home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes North Florida a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs North Florida defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs South Dakota defense
| North Florida O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
