Model line
North Florida −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Florida 55%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
North Florida home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes North Florida a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs North Florida defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs Little Rock defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
