Model line
North Florida −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Florida 77%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
North Florida home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes North Florida a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
The Citadel offense vs North Florida defense
| The Citadel O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8#334 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 49.5#269 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 16.3#157 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 27.9#272 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 30.0#312 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 10.7#288 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 50.6#231 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 51.0#214 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 32.0#282 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 66.5#349 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#27 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs The Citadel defense
| North Florida O | Stat | The Citadel D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #33464.8 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #36157.5 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #31114.7 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #22831.5 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #13533.3 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #2737.8 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #17552.2 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #36359.6 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #33536.6 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #4444.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
The Citadel
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 76–83 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Chattanooga274 | W 88–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wofford276 | W 93–90 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Furman147 | L 51–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Chattanooga274 | L 72–93 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
