Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 68%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Arlington offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| UT Arlington O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#274 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 47.2#332 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 20.7#354 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 34.9#51 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 42.5#24 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 9.5#192 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 46.4#310 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 48.8#289 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 29.1#352 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 72.3#198 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#346 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs UT Arlington defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | UT Arlington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #27466.5 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #3047.4 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #9918.0 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #16830.1 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #31240.9 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #1779.3 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #8949.1 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #13450.9 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #126.9 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #35332.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Arlington
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Valley120 | L 65–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern Utah246 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Abilene Christian242 | W 64–57 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Tarleton St.178 | W 65–60 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 56–68 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
