Model line
Little Rock −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 86%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Little Rock a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Little Rock defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
