Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 58%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
42%Win probability58%
The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
