Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 86%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alcorn St. offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Alcorn St. O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#113 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 47.7#320 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 19.6#339 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 26.9#298 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 31.8#258 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 11.1#306 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 46.6#308 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 46.5#340 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 33.3#206 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 70.8#244 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#302 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Alcorn St. defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Alcorn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #11369.5 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #32955.0 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #9218.1 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #34635.5 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #29239.4 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #1829.1 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #27055.7 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #35158.0 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #11733.0 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #31535.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alcorn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 56–65 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alabama St.295 | W 77–65 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | L 48–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 67–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Prairie View A&M301 | L 51–72 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
