Model line
Montana −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana 84%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Montana home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Montana a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs Montana defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Montana offense vs South Dakota defense
| Montana O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
