Model line
North Dakota −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota 52%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
North Dakota home
48%Win probability52%
The model makes North Dakota a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs North Dakota defense
| Montana O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
North Dakota offense vs Montana defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
