Model line
Oregon −24.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 100%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Oregon home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes Oregon a 24.4-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs Oregon defense
| Montana O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Montana defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
