Model line
North Dakota St. −14.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes North Dakota St. a 14.1-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Idaho St. O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |