Model line
Penn St. −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 70%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Penn St. a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rutgers offense vs Penn St. defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Rutgers defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
