Model line
Ohio St. −7.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. 79%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Ohio St. a 7.7-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Michigan defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
