Model line
Maryland −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 89%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Maryland home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Maryland a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Maryland defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs Northwestern defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
